2+ years of publicly tracked results

Football betting,
driven by data

A statistical model that finds value bets across global football markets. Multiple strategies to maximise returns. Every result tracked publicly. No hype, no overselling — long-term profits.

Total Profit
Overall Yield
Tracked Bets
Avg. Odds

Bets delivered straight
to your phone

Every value bet lands in Telegram with the full breakdown — match, league, strategy, odds, and stake. Clear, structured, ready to act on.

Pre-match bets shared before kick-off
Multiple strategies: BTTS, U2.5, Draw, Home, Away
Stake sizing based on model confidence (1–3u)
Automated via Telegram bot — no delays
BearBet Telegram channel preview showing value bets being shared

Recent bets

A sample from our publicly tracked record. Every bet includes the odds taken, stake, and result — no exceptions.

bearbet.co.uk/track-record
Updated live
Match Strategy Odds Result Profit
Crystal Palace vs Zrinjski
Europa Conference League
U2.5 2.87 W +5.61u
Nottingham Forest vs Fenerbahçe
Europa League
Away 4.92 W +3.92u
Botafogo vs Nacional Potosí
Copa Libertadores
BTTS 2.88 L -3.00u
Keflavík vs Ægir
Iceland League Cup
BTTS 3.00 W +6.00u
IFK Skovde vs Djurgården
Svenska Cupen
BTTS 3.00 L -3.00u
Progresul Pecica vs Unirea Sântana
Romania 3. Liga
Home 2.55 W +4.65u

The model finds value.
You decide what to follow.

We scan football leagues worldwide looking for odds that are mispriced by bookmakers. Not favourites, not accumulators — value.

01

Model scans markets

Our statistical model analyses fixtures across 50+ leagues globally — from the Premier League to lower divisions where bookmaker pricing is less efficient and edges are larger.

02

Value bets identified

When the model finds odds that are higher than our calculated true probability, that's a value bet. We share the pick, the reasoning, and our suggested stake (1–3 units) before kick-off.

03

Every bet tracked

Win or lose, every bet is recorded in our public track record with full details — match, odds, stake, result, and profit. No cherry-picking, no hidden losses.

What we believe

Most tipsters sell dreams. We sell a process. Here's what makes this different.

📊

Value over favourites

We don't bet on teams "we think will win." We bet where the odds are wrong. Sometimes that's a draw in the Greek second division. The model doesn't care about names — it cares about numbers.

📉

Losing periods are normal

We will have losing weeks, even losing months. That's how probability works. We're transparent about it because any service that promises consistent wins is lying to you.

🔍

Full transparency

Every bet is shared before kick-off and recorded publicly. Our complete track record — every win, every loss, every unit — is available for anyone to audit at any time.

🧠

Why less-known leagues?

Premier League odds are priced by sharp models with massive data. Romanian Liga 2? Less so. We deliberately target thinner markets where bookmaker inefficiencies are largest and value is easiest to find.

Frequently asked questions

Everything you need to know before you start following our bets.

A unit represents 1% of your betting bankroll — the total amount you've set aside for betting. If your bankroll is €500, one unit is €5. If it's €1,000, one unit is €10. We size our bets between 1u and 3u based on the model's confidence level. This keeps your risk consistent regardless of bankroll size. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.
BTTS stands for Both Teams To Score. The bet wins if both teams score at least one goal during the match, regardless of the final result. It doesn't matter who wins — only that neither team keeps a clean sheet. This is one of our most active strategies.
U2.5 stands for Under 2.5 Goals. The bet wins if the total goals scored by both teams combined is 2 or fewer (0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0, 0-2). If three or more goals are scored, the bet loses. Our model identifies matches where low-scoring outcomes are more likely than the bookmaker's odds suggest.
These are match result bets (also known as 1X2). Home means we're backing the home team to win, Away backs the visiting team, and Draw backs neither team winning. We only bet these markets when our model finds the bookmaker's odds significantly undervalue the true probability of that outcome — we're not just picking favourites.
Value betting means placing bets where the odds offered by the bookmaker are higher than the true probability of the outcome. For example, if our model calculates a team has a 40% chance of winning but the bookmaker offers odds that imply only a 30% chance, that's a value bet. You won't win every bet — but over hundreds of bets, the maths works in your favour. It's the same principle casinos use, but in reverse.
Yield is your profit as a percentage of total units staked. A yield of +18% means that for every 100 units staked, you'd have made 18 units of profit. It's the most honest measure of betting performance because it accounts for volume. In our track record, every bet shows the odds taken, the stake in units, the result (W or L), and the exact profit or loss. Nothing is hidden.
The VIP channel costs £19.99/month and gives you access to all value bets from our model. To subscribe, message our Telegram bot with /subscribe — you'll receive a secure payment link. Once payment is confirmed, you'll instantly receive a private invite link to the VIP channel. Payments are handled securely via Stripe. You can cancel anytime and your access continues until the end of your billing period.
The free channel gives you selected insights, occasional picks, and full access to our public track record so you can evaluate our performance. The VIP channel gives you every value bet our model identifies — all strategies, all leagues, all stakes — delivered automatically via our Telegram bot before kick-off. VIP members typically receive 5–15 bets per day depending on the fixture schedule.
Bookmakers invest heavily in pricing major leagues like the Premier League or La Liga — their odds for those matches are sharp and leave little room for value. In less-known leagues (Romanian Liga 2, Greek Super League 2, Icelandic League Cup, etc.), their models are less refined and odds are more likely to be mispriced. Our model exploits these inefficiencies. Think of it like stock markets: the big, well-known stocks are efficiently priced, but smaller companies are where informed investors find the best opportunities.
Our track record speaks for itself — it's public and includes every bet, win or lose. However, we do not guarantee profits. Value betting is a long-term strategy. You will have losing days, losing weeks, and sometimes losing months. What matters is the overall trend over hundreds of bets. If you're looking for guaranteed daily wins, this isn't for you. If you understand probability and are willing to follow a disciplined system over time, the data supports long-term profitability. Always bet responsibly and only with money you can afford to lose.

Start with the free channel

Join our Telegram community to see how we operate. Free insights, selected picks, and full access to our track record.