Draw tips, every bet on the record
Every draw tip BearBet has posted since 27 February 2026, settled in public: 603 bets, +49.0u, a yield of 6.2% at average odds of 3.10. Losing runs included.
We win 33.8% of these bets and need about 32.3% to break even at these odds. The worst drawdown so far was 36.6 units, between 9 October 2026 and 1 November 2026, and the longest losing run was 18 bets in a row.
How we pick them
The model estimates the chance of a draw from bookmaker odds and its own team ratings. We bet when the price on offer is longer than that chance implies and the draw is likely enough to be worth backing. Stakes are 1 to 3 units, where a unit is 1% of your bankroll.
Month by month
| Month | Bets | Win rate | Profit | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 2026 | 8 | 25% | -1.6u | -20.4% |
| March 2026 | 76 | 28% | -11.1u | -14.7% |
| April 2026 | 129 | 30% | -10.2u | -7.9% |
| May 2026 | 114 | 39% | +19.6u | +17.2% |
| June 2026 | 50 | 46% | +25.4u | +43.0% |
| July 2026 | 16 | 50% | +22.9u | +71.7% |
| August 2026 | 40 | 35% | +6.9u | +9.1% |
| September 2026 | 90 | 33% | +22.1u | +14.8% |
| October 2026 | 75 | 27% | -27.8u | -19.7% |
| November 2026 | 5 | 40% | +2.8u | +28.0% |
4 of 10 months lost money. The worst was October 2026: 75 bets, -27.8u.
Competitions with the most bets
| Competition | Bets | Profit | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie D (Brazil) | 107 | +12.8u | +11.9% |
| Premier League (Egypt) | 54 | +2.5u | +4.3% |
| GFF First Division (Gambia) | 40 | -9.5u | -23.7% |
| Botola 2 (Morocco) | 23 | -0.4u | -1.5% |
| Liga Pro Serie B (Ecuador) | 22 | +16.6u | +51.7% |
| Premier League (Kenya) | 20 | -5.5u | -27.3% |
| Primera Division RFEF: Group 2 (Spain) | 14 | -0.7u | -3.0% |
| Azadegan League (Iran) | 11 | -3.0u | -26.8% |
| Primera B Nacional (Argentina) | 11 | +10.4u | +38.5% |
| Super League 2 (Greece) | 10 | -5.1u | -42.5% |
The latest 20 Draw bets
| Date | Match | Stake | Odds | Result | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda Primera Division RFEF: Group 2 | 1u | 3.40 | L | -1.00u |
| 01/11 | Atlético Tordesillas vs Numancia Segunda Division RFEF: Group 5 | 2u | 3.25 | L | -2.00u |
| 01/11 | Celoricense vs Rebordosa 2. Division: Group A | 2u | 3.20 | W | +4.40u |
| 01/11 | Jwaya vs Al Nejmeh Premier League | 2u | 3.20 | W | +4.40u |
| 01/11 | Mebrat Hayl vs Kedus Giorgis Premier League | 3u | 2.80 | L | -3.00u |
| 31/10 | San Lorenzo Gonnet vs La Fraternidad Torneo Federal B - Final Stages | 1u | 3.90 | L | -1.00u |
| 31/10 | Rayo Vallecano vs Celta de Vigo La Liga | 2u | 3.40 | L | -2.00u |
| 31/10 | Red Lions vs Silver Strikers Super League | 2u | 3.00 | L | -2.00u |
| 31/10 | Etincelles vs APR National Soccer League | 1u | 3.30 | L | -1.00u |
| 30/10 | Sheger Ketema vs Negele Arsi Ketema Premier League | 3u | 2.75 | L | -3.00u |
| 29/10 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës Superliga | 1u | 3.30 | L | -1.00u |
| 28/10 | Zamalek vs Arab Contractors FC Premier League | 2u | 3.25 | L | -2.00u |
| 27/10 | US Biskra vs MC Alger Ligue 1 | 2u | 3.41 | L | -2.00u |
| 26/10 | UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos Primera B Metropolitana | 3u | 3.60 | L | -3.00u |
| 25/10 | Quepos Cambute vs ADR Jicaral Liga de Ascenso | 2u | 3.30 | L | -2.00u |
| 25/10 | Aldosivi vs Belgrano Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 1u | 3.21 | L | -1.00u |
| 25/10 | Algeciras vs Real Madrid II Primera Division RFEF: Group 2 | 1u | 3.42 | L | -1.00u |
| 25/10 | AS Douanes vs RC de Kadiogo Premier League | 3u | 3.00 | L | -3.00u |
| 25/10 | Associação Naval 1893 vs Mortágua 2. Division: Group C | 1u | 3.20 | L | -1.00u |
| 25/10 | Puente Genil vs CD Badajoz Segunda Division RFEF: Group 4 | 1u | 3.20 | W | +2.20u |
Every other Draw bet is in the full track record and the monthly results.
Questions people ask
What is a draw bet?
A bet on the match finishing level after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties don't count.
Are BearBet's Draw tips profitable?
Over the whole record, yes: 603 bets, +49.0u, a yield of 6.2%. 4 of 10 months lost money, the worst being October 2026 at -27.8u.
What win rate do Draw tips need to break even?
At average odds of 3.10 you need to win about 32.3% of bets to break even. We have won 33.8%.
How many Draw tips do you post?
About 17 a week on average since 27 February 2026. The number varies with the fixture list: we only bet when the price is long enough.
Other strategies
Selected tips go out free on our Telegram channel. VIP members get every bet the model finds, Draw included, before kick-off. How BearBet works.